When Will The Next Big Recession Hit

When Will The Next Big Recession Hit?

When Will The Next Big Recession Hit?

Next Big Recession

20 March 2019

We expect the next big recession to start between July 2022 – October 2022. Possible contributing factors could be a slowdown in the Chinese & European economies.

We will update this page once again when we see any more clues.

Based purely on historical data and Fibonacci levels, this is our current hypothesis for the Nifty Smallcap 100 index (Note: It is just a possibility/hypothesis based on historical data which can definitely go wrong and should not be relied upon):

Nifty Smallcap 100 Index is at 6590 as on 20 March 2019.
Correction stopped on 18 February 2019 around 5660.

Hypothesis:

18 February 2019 – 15 January 2020: Rally from 5660 to 12125
16 January 2020 – 15 August 2021: Sideways and then a slow fall from 12125 or slightly above to 8130
16 August 2021 – 15 July 2022/13 January 2023: Rally from 8130 to 17190/18475
18 July 2022/16 January 2023 – 14 February 2024: Big fall from 17190/18475 to 10600 approx
15 February 2024 onward: Rally again

Check out our stock market tips section on how to make massive returns once recession starts. We recommend you start buying quality stocks 1 year after the recession starts and hold them for 3-6 years. An investment of just Rs. 1 lac in quality multibagger stocks in January 2009 would have given returns between Rs. 40-65 lacs in July 2015. Although, this range depends upon what kind of multibagger stocks or high return stocks were present in your portfolio at that time. This is where we come into picture and help you in finding sure shot multibaggers.

There are several so called experts who keep coming on TV and give interviews and predict that the recession will hit the global economy soon,  but the reality is no one knows when will the next big recession hit and all they are doing is making wild guesses and hoping to be correct.


When Will The Next Big Recession Hit


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